Saturday, April 25, 2009

Swine Flu and the Right Thing to Do?

The outbreak of swine flu in Mexico (which has spread to the U.S.) raises some difficult questions.

As of this writing early Saturday evening (4/25/09), news outlets were reporting that 20 to 80 are dead in Mexico with over 1000 infected, and 0 dead in the U.S. with roughly 15 infected (California, Texas, Kansas and New York). The Mexican president has declared an emergency, giving himself broad powers to impose quarantines and cancel events. The Mexico City government has closed school indefinitely and canceled other activities involving gatherings. This strain of swine flu does not kill only the very young or very old. An unnamed Mexican government source claimed most of the dead there are between 25 and 45 years old.

I am not an expert in the spread of disease, so I do not know if it is too late for travel and trade restrictions, should conditions in Mexico deteriorate to the point where they may be needed. When should health-related travel restrictions be placed between countries, essentially placing a country under quarantine? A pre-mature travel ban could spark cries of racism or xenophobia. If a travel ban should be necessary, will authorities wait longer than they otherwise would out of racial or diplomatic sensitivity? Feelings and pride are irrelevant when lives are at stake.

There are other questions. What are the rights of private citizens to move around and conduct commerce vs. society’s right to be protected from the spread of disease? How far should worldwide swine flu conditions have to deteriorate before the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a pandemic? A pandemic declaration by the WHO asks for voluntary worldwide trade and travel restrictions. With the world economy already in shambles, there will doubtless be pressure to postpone a pandemic declaration as long as possible. Some countries would comply, while others would not. What actions should be taken against countries that are not complying and are thought to be endangering other populations?

If we are fortunate, we will not have to learn the answers to these questions.


Sources
http://in.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idINN2443181920090424
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aEsNownABJ6Q&refer=worldwide
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N24449988.htm
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D97PNI383&show_article=1

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